TWMG 2: Day Two -

[flash]

I don't make it a big deal, but now some people think of me as a wolf just because someone has a free pass while I feel that he/she is suspicious.

[Sirusboon]

The chances that MGS is the seer again is pretty low, but he still had a... what, 1/12 chance in this game again? It's quite possible. Unfortunately.

The chances of being the seer twice are 1 in 144.

[Kiamnenieh]

Hey being negative is fun. Look on the bright side, nothing worse could happen. (optimistic negative person)

lol, interesting point of view^^

[bipolargraph]

I don't make it a big deal, but now some people think of me as a wolf just because someone has a free pass while I feel that he/she is suspicious.

Just because you act suspicious doesn't mean you're a wolf. You should change you're playing style though, don't write the names of all the people you suspect in public. One of them could be a wolf and kill you.

[Digital_Eon]

It's more likely that the wolves would kill flash to frame the people on that list. Only a stupid wolf would attack him if s/he were actually on that list...

[bipolargraph]

So if you have a smart wolf, don't put up the list. If the wolf is stupid, don't put it up either.

[adonai]

The chances of being the seer twice are 1 in 144.

No the chances are independent of each other, it's 1/12 each time, in the long run when comparing many trials of two games it'll be 1/144, but you have to look at it independently, so it's 1/12.

I'm pretty sure that he is dead by now.

I would suggest Urameshi or flash I guess, there's a reason he went invisible right after the day started he read his PMs.

Not that they're the only invisible ones of course, bipolar has played that way for quite a while too, and I can't really tell from what he's saying whether he really swore, I hope not though.

[bipolargraph]

Hey I'm new at this game, so my playing style is constantly shifting. You also have to consider the fact that I had exams back then. I basically made my sis play for me.

[flash]

I would suggest Urameshi or flash I guess, there's a reason he went invisible right after the day started he read his PMs.

Not that they're the only invisible ones of course, bipolar has played that way for quite a while too, and I can't really tell from what he's saying whether he really swore, I hope not though.

Is that why you think I'm suspicious?
I'm always invisible from a long time ago.

[Digital_Eon]

Yes, the chances of being the seer twice in a row are 1/44, but I did mention the 1/12 bit earlier, since the roles in games are independent of each other. At any rate, it certainly isn't impossible...